SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 40.98% | 26.88% | 32.13% |
| Both teams to score 50.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% | 54.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% | 75.82% |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.78% | 61.22% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% | 31.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.12% | 67.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.13% |
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