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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
RM

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Real Madrid

Dentinho (57'), Solomon (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Varane (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawReal Madrid
22.3%25.36%52.35%
Both teams to score 47.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53%54.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17%75.83%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45%39.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76%76.24%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5%53.5%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 22.3%
    Real Madrid 52.34%
    Draw 25.35%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.64%
2-1 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 3.54%
3-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 12.92%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-3 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.34%

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