SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 30.06% | 28.53% | 41.41% |
| Both teams to score 45.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% | 61.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% | 81.03% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% | 36.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.75% | 73.25% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% | 29.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.06% | 64.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.89% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.41% |
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