On current form it is hard to see beyond Freiburg retaining their 100% record in the Europa League this season, even if Nantes are likely to be a tougher nut to crack on home soil.
The hosts are on a desperate run of results right now and Kombouare is facing significant pressure, especially after losing the Derby Breton on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.13) 
