SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
57.98% ( 0.07) | 22.8% ( -0.01) | 19.23% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( -0.07) | 47.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.07) | 70.09% ( 0.06) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% | 16.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.24% ( 0) | 45.76% ( -0) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.12) | 38.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( -0.11) | 75.72% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.98% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.23% |
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