Monaco are on a good run of form in the league, and we do not see them slipping up here given the strength of their side and Nantes' poor start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Nantes
57.98% ( 0.07)	22.8% ( -0.01)	19.23% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.1% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09% (

-0.07)

47.91% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91% (

-0.07)

70.09% (

0.06)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24% (

45.76% (

-0)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.01% (

-0.12)

38.99% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0.11)

75.72% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Monaco 57.98%

Nantes 19.23%

Draw 22.8%

Monaco	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.98%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.23%