Nantes may be content to come away with Azerbaijan unscathed having already gained a win against Olympiacos last week.
Qarabag are tough to beat on home soil, but likewise can find it tough to break teams down at this level, so may not be too disappointed with a share of the spoils either.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
