Despite having had more rest than their opponents, who played in Europe on Thursday, Gladbach's defensive injuries could end up costing them on Sunday. Freiburg are brilliant from set pieces and could expose the amount of changes that Farke is expected to be forced into making to his backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
50.85% ( 0.45)	22.82% ( -0.09)	26.32% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94% (

0.12)

40.06% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.57% (

0.12)

62.43% (

-0.12)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

0.2)

15.92% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84% (

0.37)

45.16% (

-0.37)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.2)

28.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

-0.25)

63.94% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 50.85%

Borussia Monchengladbach 26.32%

Draw 22.82%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.85%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.32%