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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
GL

Napoli
2 - 1
Granada

Zielinski (3'), Fabian (59')
Politano (36'), Insigne (41'), Maksimovic (41'), Bakayoko (88'), Koulibaly (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Montoro (25')
Kenedy (36'), Montoro (39'), Duarte (40'), Sanchez (55'), Herrera (62'), Foulquier (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Granada had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawGranada
47.85%24.98%27.16%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95%49.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87%71.12%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47%20.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97%53.03%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.82%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 47.85%
    Granada 27.16%
    Draw 24.98%
NapoliDrawGranada
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.16%

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