SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Genk |
36.96% ( 0.94) | 24.4% ( 0.19) | 38.64% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.83) | 42.8% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.83) | 65.2% ( 0.82) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.12) | 22.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( 0.18) | 56.79% ( -0.18) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.91) | 22.13% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( -1.39) | 55.5% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.64% |
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