Despite the best efforts of the Moldovan side, Real Sociedad were too strong in this contest last Thursday, and have home advantage this time around. Expect the Spaniards to make it six wins in a row with another routine victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
59.82% ( 0.01)	24.45% ( 0.01)	15.73% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.26% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.99% (

-0.06)

59% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.53% (

-0.05)

79.47% (

0.05)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35% (

-0.02)

19.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

-0.03)

51.61% (

0.03)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.1% (

-0.07)

49.9% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.41% (

-0.05)

84.59% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 59.81%

Sheriff Tiraspol 15.73%

Draw 24.45%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 15.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.81%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 15.73%