Despite a brave performance against Manchester United, the quality eventually told as the Moldovan side suffered a 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Red Devils.
We can see a similar outcome here, as a rotated Real Sociedad squad should have just enough to avoid an upset.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
-2.03) 
1.23) 
