Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and with the hosts having a full squad, this will be a very tough match for Real Sociedad. The visitors will enter this match in excellent form, but we just have a feeling that Celta will do enough to secure a share of the spoils in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
1.23) 
-0.55) 
