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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
A

Panathinaikos
0 - 1
Ajax


Ingi Ingason (45+2'), Mancini (59'), Ioannidis (80'), Arao (84'), Duricic (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berghuis (28')
Sutalo (75')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Panathinaikos and Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Sturm Graz
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawAjax
42.22% (-8.994 -8.99) 23.31% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 34.47% (8.897 8.9)
Both teams to score 63.59% (5.371 5.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (4.619 4.62)37.91% (-4.62 -4.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (4.768 4.77)60.16% (-4.768 -4.77)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-1.709 -1.71)18.4% (1.709 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (-2.98 -2.98)49.55% (2.979 2.98)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (8.044 8.04)22.06% (-8.045 -8.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (10.843 10.84)55.41% (-10.844 -10.84)
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 42.22%
    Ajax 34.47%
    Draw 23.31%
PanathinaikosDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.877 -0.88)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-2.124 -2.12)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-2.237 -2.24)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.809 -0.81)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.286 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-1.525 -1.53)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.483 -0.48)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.762 -0.76)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.84 0.84)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.965 -0.97)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.503 0.5)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.85% (1.367 1.37)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.64% (1.016 1.02)
1-3 @ 3.95% (1.36 1.36)
2-3 @ 3.35% (1.025 1.03)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.887 0.89)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.715 0.72)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.567 0.57)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 34.47%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 0-2 Trabzonspor
Thursday, July 25 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Zeleznicar 1-3 Trabzonspor
Saturday, July 13 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Szeged 2011
Wednesday, July 10 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-2 Ankaragucu
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Sturm Graz
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 6-1 Wisla Krakow
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wisla Krakow 1-2 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 0-3 Hartberg
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, May 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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