Proving an impressive start to the Francesco Farioli era may be sustainable, Ajax can win again on Thursday night, securing their place in the Europa League playoffs. Now that Bergwijn and Brobbey are both back in the fold, they should find a way past Panathinaikos, who will be bound for the Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	Panathinaikos
51.75% ( -0.05)	23.1% ( 0.02)	25.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63% (

-0.05)

42.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.23% (

-0.05)

64.77% (

0.05)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

-0.03)

16.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89% (

-0.06)

46.11% (

0.06)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

-0)

30.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

-0)

66.54% (

Score Analysis

Ajax 51.75%

Panathinaikos 25.15%

Draw 23.1%

Ajax	Draw	Panathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.75%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.15%