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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
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PSV
3 - 2
PAOK

Gakpo (20'), Madueke (50'), Malen (53')
Dumfries (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Varela (4'), Tzolis (13')
Tsiggaras (8'), El Kaddouri (64'), Douglas (71'), Biseswar (90+4'), Varela (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPAOK
32.19%25.9%41.9%
Both teams to score 53.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54%50.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61%72.39%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.06%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 32.19%
    PAOK 41.9%
    Draw 25.9%
PSV EindhovenDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.9%


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