SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malmo win with a probability of 55.94%. A win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 23% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.59%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win is 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.29%).
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Malmo |
23% ( -8.6) | 21.06% ( -2.31) | 55.94% ( 10.91) |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.96% ( 4.18) | 35.04% ( -4.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.96% ( 4.51) | 57.03% ( -4.51) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( -3.78) | 28.08% ( 3.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( -5.07) | 63.74% ( 5.07) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( 5.22) | 12.55% ( -5.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.4% ( 9.88) | 38.6% ( -9.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -1.57) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( -1.63)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -1.48)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -1.02)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.83)Other @ 3.49% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -1.26) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.79)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 1.15)0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.67% ( 1.42)0-3 @ 5.25% ( 1.54)2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 1.19)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 1.12)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.59)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.65)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.58)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.17)2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.36)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.94% |
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