SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 0-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Malmo |
24.73% ( 0.66) | 21.56% ( 0.22) | 53.71% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.39) | 35.55% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.43) | 57.6% ( 0.44) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.29) | 27.02% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( 0.38) | 62.37% ( -0.37) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.39) | 13.39% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.69% ( -0.8) | 40.31% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.87% Total : 24.73% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.71% |
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