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Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8.35pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Q

Spurs
3 - 0
Qarabag

Johnson (12'), Sarr (52'), Solanke (68')
Bissouma (56')
Dragusin (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Qarabag 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, August 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawQarabag FK
52.53% (1.807 1.81) 20.35% (-0.105 -0.11) 27.12% (-1.699 -1.7)
Both teams to score 70.46% (-1.101 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.79% (-0.834 -0.83)27.21% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.25% (-1.06 -1.06)47.75% (1.063 1.06)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.09% (0.202 0.2)10.91% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.92% (0.44300000000001 0.44)35.08% (-0.441 -0.44)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-1.417 -1.42)20.92% (1.419 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-2.263 -2.26)53.64% (2.266 2.27)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 52.53%
    Qarabag FK 27.12%
    Draw 20.35%
Tottenham HotspurDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.371 0.37)
3-2 @ 5.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.295 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.306 0.31)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.187 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.076 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 7.91% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.64% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.28% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Spurs
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Everton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Spurs
Monday, August 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Qarabag 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, August 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League


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