Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braga had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
