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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal
P

Braga
2 - 2
Porto

Fransergio (87'), Gaitan (90+4')
Galeno (20'), Tormena (34'), Oliveira (35'), Carmo (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (36' pen.), Taremi (54')
Corona (5'), Uribe (18'), Conceicao (23')
Corona (60'), Conceicao (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawPorto
33%27.22%39.77%
Both teams to score 49.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42%55.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25%76.75%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Score Analysis
    Braga 33%
    Porto 39.77%
    Draw 27.21%
BragaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.77%

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