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Thursday, November 21
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B
Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Estadio Municipal
RL

Braga
0 - 2
Roma


Esgaio (32'), Oliveira (79'), Silva (89')
Esgaio (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzeko (5'), Mayoral (87')
Mancini (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawRoma
50.45%22.64%26.91%
Both teams to score 61.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.32%38.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01%60.98%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44%15.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5%44.49%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46%
Score Analysis
    Braga 50.45%
    Roma 26.91%
    Draw 22.63%
BragaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 50.45%
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.57%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 26.91%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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