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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HV

Roma
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Mancini (20'), Mkhitaryan (22'), Mayoral (29')
Pellegrini (17'), Kumbulla (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Colley (62')
Faraoni (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.6%18.18%13.23%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.44%38.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14%60.86%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77%10.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44%33.56%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.59%
    Hellas Verona 13.23%
    Draw 18.18%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 7.39%
4-0 @ 4.71%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.3%
5-0 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 68.59%
1-1 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.34%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 3.81%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.29%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.23%

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