SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
42.34% ( 0.22) | 24.29% ( 0) | 33.36% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.07) | 42.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.07) | 65.36% ( 0.08) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.07) | 20.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( 0.1) | 52.89% ( -0.1) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( -0.16) | 25.06% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( -0.23) | 59.74% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.36% |
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