SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 38.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.93%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Ajax |
38.53% ( -0.06) | 21.51% ( 0.01) | 39.96% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 71.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.05) | 28.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.19% ( -0.06) | 48.81% ( 0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( -0.04) | 15.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% ( -0.08) | 44.91% ( 0.08) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0) | 15.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% ( -0.01) | 43.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.55% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 39.96% |
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