Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | AEK Athens |
43.68% ( -0.06) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 32.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.06% ( 0.1) | 38.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% ( 0.1) | 61.25% ( -0.1) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( 0.02) | 18.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% ( 0.02) | 49.22% ( -0.02) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 0.13) | 57.4% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | AEK Athens |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.9% |
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