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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
AA

Brighton
2 - 3
AEK Athens

Pedro (30' pen., 67' pen.)
Julio (47'), Estupinan (66'), De Zerbi (71'), Paul van Hecke (76'), Welbeck (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sidibe (11'), Gacinovic (40'), Ponce (84')
Sidibe (47'), Mitoglou (66'), Szymanski (67'), Ponce (69'), Gacinovic (72'), Mantalos (90+8'), Mohammadi (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAEK Athens
43.68% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 23.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.9% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (0.095999999999997 0.1)38.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (0.101 0.1)61.25% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.085999999999999 0.09)23.41% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.125 0.13)57.4% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 43.68%
    AEK Athens 32.9%
    Draw 23.42%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAEK Athens
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-4 Brighton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Luton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Volos 2-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-2 Antwerp
Wednesday, August 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Panserraikos
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League


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