Roma endured an emotional night on Thursday as they narrowly managed to defeat Feyenoord and carry on in the Europa League, meaning there could be hints of fatigue from the Giallorossi on Monday night.
Torino have had a full week to prepare for their trip to the Stadio Olimpico, and we can envisage the visitors forcing a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Torino had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
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