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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Feb 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Rukh Lviv

Tete (9'), Maycon (60' pen.)
Vitao (32'), Dodo (39'), Patrick (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kukharevych (5'), Prytula (49'), Karasyuk (59'), Varfolomieiev (90')
Bandura (90+6')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Rukh Lviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
59.12%20.96%19.92%
Both teams to score 58.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28%38.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97%61.03%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19%12.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86%39.14%
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49%69.51%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 59.12%
    Rukh Lviv 19.92%
    Draw 20.96%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 8.91%
1-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 6.78%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-1 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.92%

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