Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Leicester City
30.78%	23.94%	45.28%

Both teams to score 59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68%

42.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28%

64.72%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54%

61.46%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6%

50.4%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 30.78%

Leicester City 45.28%

Draw 23.94%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.38% 1-0 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.78%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.35% Total : 45.28%