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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
LL

Legia
1 - 0
Leicester

Madatov (31')
Pesqueira (52'), Madatov (83'), Pekhart (88'), Mladenovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (21'), Maddison (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawLeicester City
31.5%22.37%46.13%
Both teams to score 65.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.66%34.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.75%56.25%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69%55.3%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54%15.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.67%44.33%
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 31.5%
    Leicester City 46.13%
    Draw 22.37%
Legia WarsawDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.28%
1-0 @ 5.15%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 31.5%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-1 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 5.58%
2-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.72%
3-4 @ 1%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.13%

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