Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
