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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
0 - 1
Spartak Moscow


Utsiyev (38'), Konovalov (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sobolev (41')
Litvinov (39'), Moses (71'), Lucas (83'), Lomovitski (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawSpartak Moscow
27.51%25.33%47.16%
Both teams to score 52.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79%72.21%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31%32.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76%69.24%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67%21.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72%54.28%
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 27.51%
    Spartak Moscow 47.16%
    Draw 25.33%
Akhmat GroznyDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.16%

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