Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
