Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Aberdeen
52.72%	21.71%	25.56%

Both teams to score 63.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.56%

35.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.52%

57.47%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35%

13.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.16%

40.84%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66%

26.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.52%

61.48%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 52.73%

Aberdeen 25.56%

Draw 21.71%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.94% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 1.42% 1-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.56%