Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
