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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Zaglebiowski Park Sportowy

Rakow
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Tudor (48'), Crnac (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boving (23')
Dante (35'), Silva Teixeira (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rakow 3-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Swarovski
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Sturm Graz

While Sturm Graz arguably boast more quality than their hosts and are more well-versed on the continental stage, Rakow will certainly be no pushovers, particularly in Poland, and we fancy them to score a first point from a low-scoring draw on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSturm Graz
29.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.89% (0.023 0.02) 43.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (-0.108 -0.11)55.27% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)76.5% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.55% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.099 -0.1)70.19% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.33% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-0.055 -0.05)60.11% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 29.83%
    Sturm Graz 43.27%
    Draw 26.89%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.83%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rakow 3-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Rakow
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, September 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Swarovski
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Salzburg
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 1-2 Sturm Graz
Saturday, September 2 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-1 BW Linz
Saturday, August 26 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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