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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
R

Legia
1 - 2
Rakow

Wszolek (45+2')
Pesqueira (5'), Ribeiro (49'), Elitim (52'), Kramer (90+4'), Wszolek (90+6'), Augustyniak (90+8'), Dias (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kochergin (26'), Augustyniak (73' og.)
Szwarga (6'), Papanikolaou (49'), Berggren (63'), Racovitan (80'), Cebula (87'), Zwolinski (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawRakow Czestochowa
53.62% (0.526 0.53) 23.06% (-0.268 -0.27) 23.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (0.932 0.93)44.02% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6% (0.90199999999999 0.9)66.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.527 0.53)16.37% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54% (0.94 0.94)45.99% (-0.934 -0.93)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.29300000000001 0.29)32.78% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.326 0.33)69.34% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 53.62%
    Rakow Czestochowa 23.32%
    Draw 23.06%
Legia WarsawDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 23.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-4 Legia
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 3-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rakow 3-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Rakow
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, September 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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