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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
BL

Spurs
3 - 1
Brentford

Solanke (8'), Johnson (28'), Maddison (85')
van de Ven (39'), Bissouma (66'), Maddison (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mbeumo (1')
Ajer (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.69%) and 3-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawBrentford
54.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 20.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 66.21% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.77% (0.031999999999996 0.03)53.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)11.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.28% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.012 0.01)24.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.016000000000005 0.02)59.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 54.31%
    Brentford 24.87%
    Draw 20.82%
Tottenham HotspurDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.82%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Spurs
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Everton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Spurs
Monday, August 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Brentford
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Premier League


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