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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Ajax |
42.22% ( -8.99) | 23.31% ( 0.1) | 34.47% ( 8.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( 5.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( 4.62) | 37.91% ( -4.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( 4.77) | 60.16% ( -4.77) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -1.71) | 18.4% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.45% ( -2.98) | 49.55% ( 2.98) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 8.04) | 22.06% ( -8.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( 10.84) | 55.41% ( -10.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.88) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -2.12)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -2.24)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -1.53)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.48)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.76)Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.84)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.97)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.5)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 1.37) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1.02)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 1.36)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 1.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.89)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.72)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.57)Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.47% |
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