Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Braga had a probability of 39.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.86%) and 2-3 (4.53%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
