SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Switzerland |
24.61% ( -0.06) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 50.13% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0.12) | 52.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( 0.11) | 73.76% ( -0.1) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.01) | 36.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( 0.01) | 72.81% ( -0.01) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.1) | 20.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( 0.15) | 53.4% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.61% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.12% |
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