SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Switzerland |
39.19% ( -1.16) | 24.81% ( 0.03) | 36% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( 0.02) | 44.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 0.02) | 67.2% ( -0.02) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.56) | 22.75% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( -0.84) | 56.44% ( 0.84) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.65) | 24.44% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( 0.9) | 58.87% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Switzerland |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36% |
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