World Cup | Group Stage

Dec 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Serbia
2 - 3
Switzerland

Mitrovic (26'), Vlahovic (35')
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Pavlovic (56'), Rajkovic (66'), Gudelj (81'), Mitrovic (82'), Milenkovic (90+5'), Lukic (90+10')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Shaqiri (20'), Embolo (44'), Freuler (48')
Widmer (15'), Vargas (34'), Xhaka (90+5'), Schar (90+9')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Cameroon 3-3 Serbia
Monday, November 28 at 10am in World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	2	3	6
2	Switzerland	2	0	3
3	Cameroon	2	-1	1
4	Serbia	2	-2	1

Switzerland

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Switzerland
Monday, November 28 at 4pm in World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	2	3	6
2	Switzerland	2	0	3
3	Cameroon	2	-1	1
4	Serbia	2	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Switzerland
39.19% ( -1.16)	24.81% ( 0.03)	36% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 58.37% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

0.02)

44.84% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

0.02)

67.2% (

-0.02)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

-0.56)

22.75% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

-0.84)

56.44% (

0.84)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

0.65)

24.44% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13% (

0.9)

58.87% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Serbia 39.19%

Switzerland 36%

Draw 24.81%

Serbia	Draw	Switzerland
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36%