SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Belarus |
51.9% ( -0.04) | 21.64% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.74% ( 0.02) | 34.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.84% ( 0.02) | 56.16% ( -0.02) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( -0.01) | 13.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( -0.02) | 40.54% ( 0.02) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( 0.05) | 59.77% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Belarus |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.46% |
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