Although Belarus have won the last two meetings with Kazakhstan, we think that the hosts will fall short on Friday when they come up against a Kazakhstan sid ethat have won their opening two Nations League games without conceding. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Kazakhstan
33.9% ( 0.02)	25.14% ( -0.01)	40.96% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

0.04)

46.68% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

0.04)

68.95% (

-0.04)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

0.03)

26.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.29% (

0.05)

61.71% (

-0.05)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.01)

22.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.01)

56.33% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Belarus 33.9%

Kazakhstan 40.96%

Draw 25.13%

Belarus	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.9%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.96%