SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Kazakhstan |
33.9% ( 0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.01) | 40.96% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 0.04) | 46.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( 0.04) | 68.95% ( -0.04) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.03) | 26.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( 0.05) | 61.71% ( -0.05) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( 0.01) | 56.33% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.96% |
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