SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Belarus |
35.62% ( 0) | 24.37% ( -0.03) | 40.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 0.13) | 65.22% ( -0.13) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( 0.09) | 57.84% ( -0.09) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( 0.07) | 21.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( 0.1) | 54.5% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Belarus |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.01% |
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