Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
-9.14) 
3.04) 
