SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Switzerland |
50.32% ( -9.14) | 25.04% ( 3.04) | 24.64% ( 6.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -5.61) | 51.15% ( 5.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -5.13) | 72.99% ( 5.13) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( -5.4) | 20.33% ( 5.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( -9.39) | 52.72% ( 9.39) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 2.84) | 35.53% ( -2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( 2.83) | 72.29% ( -2.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 9.17% ( -1.2)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -1.25)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -1.7)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.99)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -1.18)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.39)Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 1.47) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 1.49)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16)Other @ 1% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1.99) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 1.16)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1.24)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.5)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.64% |
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