SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Serbia |
24.11% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 49.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.99% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( -0.04) | 57.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0.03) | 78.63% ( 0.03) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.05) | 39.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( -0.05) | 76.43% ( 0.05) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0) | 23.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( -0.01) | 57.77% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.14% |
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