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World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
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Brazil
2 - 0
Serbia

Richarlison (62', 73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlovic (7'), Gudelj (49'), Lukic (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 1-5 Serbia
Friday, November 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawSerbia
50.68% (-1.142 -1.14) 25.69% (0.055 0.05) 23.62% (1.086 1.09)
Both teams to score 48.4% (1.036 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.749 0.75)54.53% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.619 0.62)75.88% (-0.62 -0.62)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.181 -0.18)21.55% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.277 -0.28)54.62% (0.275 0.27)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (1.46 1.46)38.31% (-1.46 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.93% (1.372 1.37)75.07% (-1.373 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 50.68%
    Serbia 23.62%
    Draw 25.68%
BrazilDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.187 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 3-0 Ghana
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-5 Brazil
Thursday, June 2 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 0-4 Brazil
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Chile
Thursday, March 24 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bahrain 1-5 Serbia
Friday, November 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 0-2 Serbia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Slovenia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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