SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.67%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Lithuania |
86.47% ( -0.09) | 9.79% ( 0.04) | 3.74% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 36.93% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.98% ( 0.11) | 33.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.26% ( 0.13) | 54.74% ( -0.13) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.8% ( 0) | 5.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.43% ( 0.01) | 20.57% ( -0.01) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.34) | 61.05% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.82% ( 0.17) | 91.17% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Lithuania |
| 2-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 86.46% | 1-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.79% | 0-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.03% Total : 3.74% |
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