SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Montenegro |
38.32% ( 0.05) | 25.14% ( -0) | 36.54% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0) | 46.31% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0) | 68.6% ( 0) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.03) | 23.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.04% ( -0.04) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.03) | 24.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.05) | 59.4% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bulgaria | Draw | Montenegro |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.54% |
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