SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Serbia |
30.56% ( -0.21) | 25.49% ( 0.06) | 43.95% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.33) | 49.31% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( -0.3) | 71.36% ( 0.31) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.31) | 29.96% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -0.38) | 66.08% ( 0.38) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.07) | 22.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.11) | 55.89% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.94% |
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