SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Turkey |
69.83% ( 0.21) | 17.37% ( -0.16) | 12.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.32% ( 0.63) | 35.68% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.25% ( 0.69) | 57.75% ( -0.69) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.82% ( 0.21) | 9.17% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.91% ( 0.5) | 31.09% ( -0.5) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.33) | 39.68% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( 0.31) | 76.36% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 69.82% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.8% |
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