SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Turkey |
43.09% ( -0.17) | 24.52% ( 0.07) | 32.39% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( -0.3) | 44.3% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( -0.3) | 66.68% ( 0.3) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.2) | 20.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -0.32) | 53.25% ( 0.32) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -0.09) | 26.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( -0.12) | 61.41% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.39% |
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