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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
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Turkey
0 - 3
Portugal


Bardakci (25'), Akaydin (42'), Celik (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Silva (21'), Akaydin (28' og.), Fernandes (56')
Leao (39'), Palhinha (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Georgia
Tuesday, June 18 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 18 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.04%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Turkey win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawPortugal
22.62% (-0.303 -0.3) 21.34% (-0.12 -0.12) 56.04% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 61.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.13% (0.217 0.22)36.87% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.95% (0.235 0.23)59.05% (-0.228 -0.23)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.128 -0.13)29.42% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.162 -0.16)65.41% (0.167 0.17)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.20400000000001 0.2)13.12% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (0.404 0.4)39.78% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 22.62%
    Portugal 56.04%
    Draw 21.34%
TurkeyDrawPortugal
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 22.62%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.35% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.74% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.36% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 56.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Georgia
Tuesday, June 18 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Turkey
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 18 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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